Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 121

FIRST C IN OUR WINDOW AT #121

Steve Mott

Drafted by DET , GM Russ Thomas · Alabama

1983 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping.

4
Cs drafted at #121 in NFL history
most recent: Khaled Holmes (IND, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a center at #121 a 3.1% chance in 1983.

Center at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.4% 1983: 3.1%

Peak: 4.4% · 2027 model: 1.7%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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