Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 140

FIRST C IN OUR WINDOW AT #140

Davis, TomTom Davis

Drafted by LV · Nebraska

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping.

2
Cs drafted at #140 in NFL history
most recent: Mark Fischer (WAS, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a center at #140 a 3.2% chance in 1978.

Center at #140, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.4% 1978: 3.2%

Peak: 4.4% · 2027 model: 1.7%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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