Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 16

FIRST C IN OUR WINDOW AT #16

Blair Bush

Drafted by CIN · Washington

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a center at #16 a 2.8% chance in 1978.

Center at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%4.3% 1978: 2.8%

Peak: 4.3% · 2027 model: 2.1%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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