C · pick 187, First C at #187 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping. (2002)

C·pick 187

FIRST C IN OUR WINDOW AT #187

Justin Hartwig

Drafted by TEN , GM Floyd Reese · Kansas

2002 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping.

Cs drafted at #187 in NFL history

most recent: John Sullivan (MIN, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a center at #187 a 3.1% chance in 2002.

Center at #187, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 5.0% · 2027 model: 1.8%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#182DTDavid PughIND , GM Bill Polian
#183SJames LewisIND , GM Bill Polian
#184WRKahlil HillATL , GM Harold Richardson
#185RBJosh ScobeyARI , GM Bob Ferguson
#186QBJ.T. O'SullivanNO , GM Mickey Loomis
#188LBWesly MallardNYG , GM Ernie Accorsi
#189SKeyon NashLV , GM Al Davis era
#190DTHoward GreenHOU , GM Charley Casserly
#191TEJeb PutzierDEN , GM Mike Shanahan
#192OTReggie ColemanWAS , GM Vinny Cerrato

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008John SullivanMIN , GM Rick Spielman · Notre Dame

→ see this cell on the full chart