Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 230

FIRST C IN OUR WINDOW AT #230

Jeff Grau

Drafted by WAS , GM Vinny Cerrato · UCLA

2002 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, C grouping.

2
Cs drafted at #230 in NFL history
most recent: Dustin Woodard (NE, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a center at #230 a 3.3% chance in 2002.

Center at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%5.4% 2002: 3.3%

Peak: 5.4% · 2027 model: 1.7%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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