Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 158

FIRST CB IN OUR WINDOW AT #158

Mitchell, MarkMark Mitchell

Drafted by PHI · Tulane

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, CB grouping.

5
CBs drafted at #158 in NFL history
most recent: Bryce Hall (NYJ, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a cornerback at #158 a 6.3% chance in 1977.

Cornerback at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.1% 1977: 6.3%

Peak: 14.1% · 2027 model: 13.3%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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