33 is the most slept-on slot in the modern draft. A round-1-caliber player slips, round 1 closes, your team picks first the next morning. The defensive backs eat here. Pre-1994 round-1 boundaries floated from 26 to 30, so the analogous cell shifted year to year , but the 'first pick of day two' bargain has always lived a few slots past the end of round 1.
Cornerback territory
Pick 33 is where round-1-caliber corners slip to. Tre'Davious White (2017), Marshon Lattimore (2017), Stephon Gilmore (2012). The first pick of round two is the secondary's bargain bin , and has been since round 2 began here in 1995.
How rare was this draftigami?
Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a cornerback at #33 a 8.5% chance in 1983.
Cornerback at #33, year by year
Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.
Peak: 15.2% · 2027 model: 14.5%
Surrounding picks · 1983 draft
#28CBDarrell GreenWAS , GM Bobby Beathard
#29LBVernon MaxwellIND , GM Ernie Accorsi
#30OTHarvey SalemTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#31OGMark CooperDEN , GM Edgar Kaiser/staff
#32WRHenry EllardLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#34OTDave LutzKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#35SWes HopkinsPHI , GM Jim Murray
#36LBMike WilcherLAR , GM Don Klosterman
#37DELeonard MarshallNYG , GM George Young
#38CSteve KorteNO , GM Ken Meyer/staff
Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks
2021Tyson CampbellJAX , GM Trent Baalke · Georgia
2019Byron MurphyARI , GM Steve Keim · Washington
2017Kevin KingGB , GM Ted Thompson · Washington
2011Ras-I DowlingNE , GM Bill Belichick · Virginia
1999Charles FisherCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · West Virginia