DE · pick 103, First DE at #103 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (2004)

DE·pick 103

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #103

Bo Schobel

Drafted by TEN , GM Floyd Reese · TCU

2004 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #103 in NFL history

most recent: Alex Okafor (ARI, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive end at #103 a 7.5% chance in 2004.

Defensive end at #103, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 8.6%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#98DEShaun PhillipsLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#99WRCarlos FrancisLV , GM Al Davis era
#100CAlex StepanovichARI , GM Rod Graves
#101LBDemorrio WilliamsATL , GM Rich McKay
#102CBWill PooleMIA , GM Rick Spielman
#104DTIsaac SopoagaSF , GM Terry Donahue
#105WRSamie ParkerKC , GM Carl Peterson
#106QBLuke McCownCLE , GM Butch Davis
#107LBKendyll PopeIND , GM Bill Polian
#108WRJerricho CotcheryNYJ , GM Terry Bradway

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2013Alex OkaforARI , GM Steve Keim · Texas
2012Frank AlexanderCAR , GM Marty Hurney · Oklahoma
2011Sam AchoARI , GM Rod Graves · Texas
2008William HayesTEN , GM Mike Reinfeldt · Winston-Salem St.

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