Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 111

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #111

Smith, MikeMike Smith

Drafted by PHI · Florida

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

4
DEs drafted at #111 in NFL history
most recent: Cameron Sample (CIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #111 a 7.7% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #111, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.5% 1976: 7.7%

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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