DE · pick 12, First DE at #12 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1984)

DE·pick 12

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #12

Alphonso Carreker

Drafted by GB , GM Forrest Gregg · Florida St.

1984 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #12 in NFL history

most recent: Shaun Ellis (NYJ, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a defensive end at #12 a 10.0% chance in 1984.

Defensive end at #12, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.8% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#7LBRicky HunleyCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#8CBLeonard ColemanIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#9DERick BryanATL , GM Tom Braatz
#10CBRussell CarterNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#11LBWilber MarshallCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi
#13DTKeith MillardMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#14LBJackie ShippMIA , GM Don Shula
#15DERon FaurotNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#16DTPete KochCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#17WRClyde DuncanARI , GM Bill Bidwill

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2000Shaun EllisNYJ , GM Dick Haley · Tennessee
1996Regan UpshawTB , GM Rich McKay · California
1992Marco ColemanMIA , GM Don Shula · Georgia Tech
1989Trace ArmstrongCHI , GM Bill Tobin · Florida

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