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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 142

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #142

Herman Carroll

Drafted by NO , GM Bill Kuharich · Mississippi St.

1994 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

4
DEs drafted at #142 in NFL history
most recent: Ronald Blair (SF, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1993, the model gave a defensive end at #142 a 5.5% chance in 1994.

Defensive end at #142, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.3% 1994: 5.5%

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1994 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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