DE · pick 15, First DE at #15 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1984)

DE·pick 15

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #15

Ron Faurot

Drafted by NYJ , GM Jim Kensil · Arkansas

1984 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Rueben Bain (TB, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a defensive end at #15 a 9.6% chance in 1984.

Defensive end at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.3% · 2027 model: 9.1%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#10CBRussell CarterNYJ , GM Jim Kensil
#11LBWilber MarshallCHI , GM Jerry Vainisi
#12DEAlphonso CarrekerGB , GM Forrest Gregg
#13DTKeith MillardMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#14LBJackie ShippMIA , GM Don Shula
#16DTPete KochCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#17WRClyde DuncanARI , GM Bill Bidwill
#18SDon RogersCLE , GM Art Modell/staff
#19OGRon SoltIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#20TEDavid LewisDET , GM Russ Thomas

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2026Rueben BainTB · Miami (FL)
2025Jalon WalkerATL , GM Terry Fontenot · Georgia
2023Will McDonaldNYJ , GM Joe Douglas · Iowa St.
2012Bruce IrvinSEA , GM John Schneider · West Virginia
2010Jason Pierre-PaulNYG , GM Jerry Reese · South Florida
2003Jerome McDouglePHI , GM Andy Reid · Miami (FL)

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