Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 151

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #151

Williams, JackJack Williams

Drafted by ARI · Bowling Green

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

3
DEs drafted at #151 in NFL history
most recent: Mike Morris (SEA, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #151 a 7.0% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #151, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.0% 1978: 7.0%

Peak: 9.0% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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