DE · pick 165, First DE at #165 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (2011)

DE·pick 165

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #165

Pernell McPhee

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Mississippi St.

2011 · round 5

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #165 in NFL history

most recent: Joe Jackson (DAL, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive end at #165 a 8.5% chance in 2011.

Defensive end at #165, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.0% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#160QBNathan EnderleCHI , GM Jerry Angelo
#161OGJulian VanderveldePHI , GM Howie Roseman
#162LBChris CarterPIT , GM Kevin Colbert
#163OGDaniel KilgoreSF , GM Trent Baalke
#164CBChykie BrownBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#166LBLawrence WilsonCAR , GM Marty Hurney
#167WRRyan WhalenCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#168OGDemarcus LoveMIN , GM Rick Spielman
#169LBChris WhiteBUF , GM Buddy Nix
#170SMistral RaymondMIN , GM Rick Spielman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2019Joe JacksonDAL , GM Jerry Jones · Miami (FL)

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