Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 167

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #167

Cullars, WillieWillie Cullars

Drafted by PHI · Kansas State

1974 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

6
DEs drafted at #167 in NFL history
most recent: Avery Moss (NYG, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a defensive end at #167 a 8.9% chance in 1974.

Defensive end at #167, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.3% 1974: 8.9%

Peak: 9.3% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

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