DE · pick 191, First DE at #191 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1976)

DE·pick 191

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #191

Carl Hairston

Drafted by PHI · Maryland Eastern Shore

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #191 in NFL history

most recent: Tarron Jackson (PHI, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #191 a 8.1% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #191, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.4% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#186DTGreg SchaumDAL
#187QBBob BatemanCIN
#188DEAbdul SalaamNYJ
#189DTCassidy, SteveSteve CassidyCLE
#190LBJerry MuckensturmCHI
#193WRKarl FarmerATL
#194SChesley, JayJay ChesleySF
#195SWilliams, JackieJackie WilliamsBUF
#196RBWellington, RodRod WellingtonKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2021Tarron JacksonPHI , GM Howie Roseman · Coastal Carolina
2006Jeremy MinceyNE , GM Bill Belichick · Florida
2001Menson HollowaySF , GM Bill Walsh · Texas-El Paso
1989Benji RolandMIN , GM Mike Lynn · Auburn

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