DE · pick 199, First DE at #199 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1997)

DE·pick 199

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #199

Rod Manuel

Drafted by PIT , GM Tom Donahoe · Oklahoma

1997 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #199 in NFL history

most recent: Gerri Green (IND, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a defensive end at #199 a 6.5% chance in 1997.

Defensive end at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.8% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#194LBCornell BrownBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#195WRIsaac ByrdKC , GM Carl Peterson
#196DEShawn SwaydaCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#197WRNigea CarterTB , GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI , GM Tom Modrak
#200LBRichard HogansCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#201SRicky ParkerCHI , GM Mark Hatley
#202SSteve RosgaNYJ , GM Bill Parcells
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL , GM Harold Richardson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2019Gerri GreenIND , GM Chris Ballard · Mississippi St.
2009Stryker SulakLV , GM Al Davis era · Missouri
2008Robert HendersonNYG , GM Jerry Reese · Southern Miss
2005Khari LongKC , GM Carl Peterson · Baylor

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