DE · pick 203, First DE at #203 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (2016)

DE·pick 203

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #203

Dadi Nicolas

Drafted by KC , GM John Dorsey · Virginia Tech

2016 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a defensive end at #203 a 8.5% chance in 2016.

Defensive end at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

#198RBDerek WattLAC , GM Tom Telesco
#199WRCody CoreCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#200OTKyle MurphyGB , GM Ted Thompson
#201QBBrandon AllenJAX , GM David Caldwell
#202DTAnthony ZettelDET , GM Bob Quinn
#204SJordan LucasMIA , GM Chris Grier
#205CBHarlan MillerARI , GM Steve Keim
#206WRMike ThomasLAR , GM Les Snead
#207QBJeff DriskelSF , GM Trent Baalke
#208LBKamu Grugier-HillNE , GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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