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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 204

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #204

Jamal Duff

Drafted by NYG , GM George Young · San Diego St.

1995 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

3
DEs drafted at #204 in NFL history
most recent: Will Davis (ARI, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a defensive end at #204 a 4.9% chance in 1995.

Defensive end at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.5% 1995: 4.9%

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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