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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 208

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #208

Ervin Baldwin

Drafted by CHI , GM Jerry Angelo · Michigan St.

2008 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a defensive end at #208 a 8.1% chance in 2008.

Defensive end at #208, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.5% 2008: 8.1%

Peak: 9.5% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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