Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 212

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #212

Chance McCarty

Drafted by TB , GM Rich McKay · TCU

1998 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

5
DEs drafted at #212 in NFL history
most recent: Anthony Chickillo (PIT, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a defensive end at #212 a 6.5% chance in 1998.

Defensive end at #212, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.9% 1998: 6.5%

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 7.4%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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