Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 218

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #218

Ade Aruna

Drafted by MIN , GM Rick Spielman · Tulane

2018 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a defensive end at #218 a 7.4% chance in 2018.

Defensive end at #218, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.7% 2018: 7.4%

Peak: 9.7% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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