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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 228

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #228

Shaun Nua

Drafted by PIT , GM Kevin Colbert · BYU

2005 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a defensive end at #228 a 8.3% chance in 2005.

Defensive end at #228, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.9% 2005: 8.3%

Peak: 9.9% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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