Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 231

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #231

Dwayne Missouri

Drafted by BAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Northwestern

2001 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

3
DEs drafted at #231 in NFL history
most recent: Ben Gardner (DAL, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2000, the model gave a defensive end at #231 a 7.6% chance in 2001.

Defensive end at #231, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.0% 2001: 7.6%

Peak: 10.0% · 2027 model: 6.8%

Surrounding picks · 2001 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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