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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 254

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #254

Cheta Ozougwu

Drafted by HOU , GM Rick Smith · Rice

2011 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

2
DEs drafted at #254 in NFL history
most recent: Fadil Diggs (NO, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive end at #254 a 8.2% chance in 2011.

Defensive end at #254, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.7% 2011: 8.2%

Peak: 10.7% · 2027 model: 6.6%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

→ see this cell on the full chart