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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 30

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #30

Markus Koch

Drafted by WAS , GM Bobby Beathard · Boise St.

1986 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

3
DEs drafted at #30 in NFL history
most recent: George Karlaftis III (KC, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a defensive end at #30 a 9.2% chance in 1986.

Defensive end at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.8% 1986: 9.2%

Peak: 11.8% · 2027 model: 9.5%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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