DE · pick 38, First DE at #38 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1978)

DE·pick 38

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #38

Scott Hutchinson

Drafted by BUF · Florida

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #38 in NFL history

most recent: Arnold Ebiketie (ATL, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #38 a 7.8% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #38, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.0% · 2027 model: 10.2%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#33OTJames TaylorNO
#34LBMike HuntGB
#35CBRay GriffinCIN
#36LBKeith ButlerSEA
#37CBOdis McKinneyNYG
#39STJohnny EvansCLE
#40DEAl BakerDET
#41OTMilton HardawayLAC
#42LBJohn BarefieldARI
#43LBSteve StewartATL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2022Arnold EbiketieATL , GM Terry Fontenot · Penn St.
2020Yetur Gross-MatosCAR , GM Marty Hurney · Penn St.
2015Preston SmithWAS , GM Bruce Allen · Mississippi St.
1999Mike RuckerCAR , GM Dom Anile · Nebraska
1996Bryant MixTEN , GM Floyd Reese · Alcorn St.

→ see this cell on the full chart