DE · pick 39, First DE at #39 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1986)

DE·pick 39

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #39

Larry Roberts

Drafted by SF , GM John McVay · Alabama

1986 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #39 in NFL history

most recent: Noah Spence (TB, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a defensive end at #39 a 8.8% chance in 1986.

Defensive end at #39, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.2% · 2027 model: 9.7%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#34WRErnest GivinsTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg
#35LBDino HackettKC , GM Jim Schaaf
#36DTGerald WilliamsPIT , GM Dick Haley
#37RBAnthony ToneyPHI , GM Harry Gamble
#38CBLewis BillupsCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#40LBKevin MurphyTB , GM Phil Krueger
#41RBKenneth DavisGB , GM Forrest Gregg
#42DTMike RuthNE , GM Patrick Sullivan
#43WRWebster SlaughterCLE , GM Ernie Accorsi
#44CBMark CollinsNYG , GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2016Noah SpenceTB , GM Jason Licht · Eastern Kentucky
1997Jared TomichNO , GM Mike Ditka · Nebraska
1988Pierce HoltSF , GM John McVay · Angelo State (TX)

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