Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 46

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #46

Curtis Green

Drafted by DET , GM Russ Thomas · Alabama St.

1981 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

10
DEs drafted at #46 in NFL history
most recent: Josh Paschal (DET, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a defensive end at #46 a 8.3% chance in 1981.

Defensive end at #46, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.8% 1981: 8.3%

Peak: 11.8% · 2027 model: 10.9%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 9 picks

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