DE · pick 49, First DE at #49 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping. (1978)

DE·pick 49

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #49

Willie Fry

Drafted by PIT · Notre Dame

1978 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

DEs drafted at #49 in NFL history

most recent: Kenny Mixon (MIA, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #49 a 7.7% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #49, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 9.4%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#44OGBrett MoritzTB
#45RBDave TurnerCIN
#46DTJohnson, StanStan JohnsonLAR
#47OGWalt DowningSF
#48CBJohn TurnerMIN
#50QBMatt CavanaughNE
#51QBGuy BenjaminMIA
#52LBMike WoodsIND
#53WRRon SmithLAR
#54DEDave BrowningLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1998Kenny MixonMIA , GM Jimmy Johnson · LSU

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