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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 50

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #50

Jesse Baker

Drafted by TEN · Jacksonville State

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

2
DEs drafted at #50 in NFL history
most recent: Calais Campbell (ARI, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a defensive end at #50 a 7.8% chance in 1979.

Defensive end at #50, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.4% 1979: 7.8%

Peak: 10.4% · 2027 model: 9.4%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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