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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 83

FIRST DE IN OUR WINDOW AT #83

Ken Johnson

Drafted by BUF · Knoxville

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DE grouping.

8
DEs drafted at #83 in NFL history
most recent: Derek Rivers (NE, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a defensive end at #83 a 7.0% chance in 1979.

Defensive end at #83, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.7% 1979: 7.0%

Peak: 10.7% · 2027 model: 9.2%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

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