Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 102

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #102

Nazair Jones

Drafted by SEA , GM John Schneider · North Carolina

2017 · round 3

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a defensive tackle at #102 a 8.2% chance in 2017.

Defensive tackle at #102, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.8% 2017: 8.2%

Peak: 10.8% · 2027 model: 10.6%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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