DT · pick 106, First DT at #106 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping. (2011)

DT·pick 106

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #106

Christian Ballard

Drafted by MIN , GM Rick Spielman · Iowa

2011 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

DTs drafted at #106 in NFL history

most recent: Jay Tufele (JAX, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive tackle at #106 a 6.9% chance in 2011.

Defensive tackle at #106, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.0% · 2027 model: 10.9%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#101OGClint BolingCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#102TEJordan CameronCLE , GM Tom Heckert
#103DESam AchoARI , GM Rod Graves
#104TELuke StockerTB , GM Mark Dominik
#105RBRoy HeluWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#107WRKris DurhamSEA , GM John Schneider
#108SQuinton CarterDEN , GM John Elway
#109LBColin McCarthyTEN , GM Ruston Webster
#110OGDavid ArkinDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#111WRClyde GatesMIA , GM Jeff Ireland

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2021Jay TufeleJAX , GM Trent Baalke · USC

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