Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 11

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #11

Dontari Poe

Drafted by KC , GM Scott Pioli · Memphis

2012 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

2
DTs drafted at #11 in NFL history
most recent: Mykel Williams (SF, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2011, the model gave a defensive tackle at #11 a 8.7% chance in 2012.

Defensive tackle at #11, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.6% 2012: 8.7%

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 12.4%

Surrounding picks · 2012 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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