Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 169

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #169

Varner, StanStan Varner

Drafted by ATL · BYU

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

4
DTs drafted at #169 in NFL history
most recent: Jesse Mahelona (TEN, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive tackle at #169 a 5.2% chance in 1976.

Defensive tackle at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.7% 1976: 5.2%

Peak: 10.7% · 2027 model: 10.6%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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