Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 190

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #190

Harvey Armstrong

Drafted by PHI , GM Jim Murray · SMU

1982 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

5
DTs drafted at #190 in NFL history
most recent: Tim Smith (IND, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a defensive tackle at #190 a 6.7% chance in 1982.

Defensive tackle at #190, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%11.4% 1982: 6.7%

Peak: 11.4% · 2027 model: 11.4%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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