DT · pick 195, First DT at #195 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping. (2018)

DT·pick 195

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #195

Sebastian Joseph-Day

Drafted by LAR , GM Les Snead · Rutgers

2018 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

DTs drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Roy Lopez (HOU, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2017, the model gave a defensive tackle at #195 a 6.6% chance in 2018.

Defensive tackle at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 11.0% · 2027 model: 10.9%

Surrounding picks · 2018 draft

#190SDeShon ElliottBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome
#191WRDylan CantrellLAC , GM Tom Telesco
#192OTJamil DembyLAR , GM Les Snead
#193LBChris CovingtonDAL , GM Jerry Jones
#194WRRussell GageATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff
#196WRTremon SmithKC , GM Brett Veach
#197LBShaun Dion HamiltonWAS , GM Bruce Allen
#198DTKahlil McKenzieKC , GM Brett Veach
#199QBLuke FalkTEN , GM Jon Robinson
#200SFoyesade OluokunATL , GM Thomas Dimitroff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2021Roy LopezHOU , GM Nick Caserio · Arizona

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