Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 23

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #23

Bill Kollar

Drafted by CIN · Montana State

1974 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

3
DTs drafted at #23 in NFL history
most recent: Sharrif Floyd (MIN, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a defensive tackle at #23 a 7.7% chance in 1974.

Defensive tackle at #23, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.0% 1974: 7.7%

Peak: 14.0% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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