DT · pick 3, First DT at #3 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping. (1985)

DT·pick 3

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #3

Ray Childress

Drafted by TEN , GM Ladd Herzeg · Texas A&M

1985 · round 1

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

DTs drafted at #3 in NFL history

most recent: Quinnen Williams (NYJ, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1984, the model gave a defensive tackle at #3 a 8.7% chance in 1985.

Defensive tackle at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.2% · 2027 model: 6.1%

Surrounding picks · 1985 draft

#1DEBruce SmithBUF , GM Bill Polian
#2OGBill FralicATL , GM Tom Braatz
#4DEChris DolemanMIN , GM Mike Lynn
#5LBDuane BickettIND , GM Jim Irsay/staff
#6OTLomas BrownDET , GM Russ Thomas
#7OTKen RuettgersGB , GM Forrest Gregg
#8DERon HolmesTB , GM Phil Krueger

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2019Quinnen WilliamsNYJ , GM Mike Maccagnan · Alabama
2011Marcell DareusBUF , GM Buddy Nix · Alabama
2010Gerald McCoyTB , GM Mark Dominik · Oklahoma
2001Gerard WarrenCLE , GM Dwight Clark · Florida
1992Sean GilbertLAR , GM John Shaw · Pittsburgh
1990Cortez KennedySEA , GM Tom Flores/Behring · Miami (FL)

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