Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 30

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #30

Louie Kelcher

Drafted by LAC · SMU

1975 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

4
DTs drafted at #30 in NFL history
most recent: Gregory Rousseau (BUF, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a defensive tackle at #30 a 7.9% chance in 1975.

Defensive tackle at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.1% 1975: 7.9%

Peak: 14.1% · 2027 model: 14.1%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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