Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 45

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #45

James Manley

Drafted by MIN , GM Frank Gilliam · Vanderbilt

1996 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a defensive tackle at #45 a 7.3% chance in 1996.

Defensive tackle at #45, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.6% 1996: 7.3%

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 12.4%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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