Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DT·pick 48

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #48

Gary Hrivnak

Drafted by CHI · Purdue

1973 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

4
DTs drafted at #48 in NFL history
most recent: Maason Smith (JAX, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive tackle at #48 a 6.3% chance in 1973.

Defensive tackle at #48, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.9% 1973: 6.3%

Peak: 12.9% · 2027 model: 12.9%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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