DT · pick 53, First DT at #53 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping. (2011)

DT·pick 53

FIRST DT IN OUR WINDOW AT #53

Stephen Paea

Drafted by CHI , GM Jerry Angelo · Oregon St.

2011 · round 2

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, DT grouping.

DTs drafted at #53 in NFL history

most recent: Gervon Dexter (CHI, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive tackle at #53 a 6.9% chance in 2011.

Defensive tackle at #53, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 12.6%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#48CStefen WisniewskiLV , GM Al Davis era
#49OTBen IjalanaIND , GM Bill Polian
#50SMarcus GilchristLAC , GM A.J. Smith
#51DEDa'Quan BowersTB , GM Mark Dominik
#52DTMarvin AustinNYG , GM Jerry Reese
#54SJaiquawn JarrettPHI , GM Howie Roseman
#55CRodney HudsonKC , GM Scott Pioli
#56RBShane VereenNE , GM Bill Belichick
#57RBMikel LeshoureDET , GM Martin Mayhew
#58WRTorrey SmithBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Gervon DexterCHI , GM Ryan Poles · Florida
2012Devon StillCIN , GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Penn St.

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