LB · pick 153, First LB at #153 in the Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, LB grouping. (1979)

LB·pick 153

FIRST LB IN OUR WINDOW AT #153

Dave Simmons

Drafted by GB · North Carolina

1979 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, LB grouping.

LBs drafted at #153 in NFL history

most recent: SirVocea Dennis (TB, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a linebacker at #153 a 12.5% chance in 1979.

Linebacker at #153, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.3% · 2027 model: 10.4%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#148LBJeff McIntyreDEN
#149OGDufek, BillBill DufekNYJ
#150OTMoore, JimJim MooreIND
#151SClinton BurrellCLE
#152TEJoe SenserMIN
#154QBMike MoroskiATL
#155CBLavender, TimTim LavenderDAL
#156CBHenry WilliamsLV
#157TEBill MurrellPIT
#158RBEddie HicksNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2023SirVocea DennisTB , GM Jason Licht · Pittsburgh
2021Tony FieldsCLE , GM Andrew Berry · West Virginia
2015Kyle EmanuelLAC , GM Tom Telesco · North Dakota St.
2004Roderick GreenBAL , GM Ozzie Newsome · Central Missouri St.
1994Tony PetersonSF , GM Carmen Policy · Notre Dame
1993Rich McKenzieCLE , GM Bill Belichick · Penn St.
1985Joe KrakoskiTEN , GM Ladd Herzeg · Washington
1982Lamont JeffersWAS , GM Bobby Beathard · Tennessee

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