Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 198

FIRST LB IN OUR WINDOW AT #198

Jeff Kelly

Drafted by ATL , GM Harold Richardson · Kansas St.

1999 · round 6

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, LB grouping.

3
LBs drafted at #198 in NFL history
most recent: Cato June (IND, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1998, the model gave a linebacker at #198 a 14.3% chance in 1999.

Linebacker at #198, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.4% 1999: 14.3%

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 9.7%

Surrounding picks · 1999 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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