Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 238

FIRST LB IN OUR WINDOW AT #238

Will Smith

Drafted by DAL , GM Jerry Jones · Texas Tech

2014 · round 7

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, LB grouping.

2
LBs drafted at #238 in NFL history
most recent: T.J. Brunson (NYG, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a linebacker at #238 a 9.3% chance in 2014.

Linebacker at #238, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%16.6% 2014: 9.3%

Peak: 16.6% · 2027 model: 9.0%

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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