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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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LB·pick 78

FIRST LB IN OUR WINDOW AT #78

Kurt Allerman

Drafted by ARI · Penn State

1977 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, LB grouping.

8
LBs drafted at #78 in NFL history
most recent: Chazz Surratt (MIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a linebacker at #78 a 13.4% chance in 1977.

Linebacker at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.7% 1977: 13.4%

Peak: 15.7% · 2027 model: 10.5%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

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