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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 111

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #111

Terry Long

Drafted by PIT , GM Dick Haley · East Carolina

1984 · round 4

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

7
OGs drafted at #111 in NFL history
most recent: Dawand Jones (CLE, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a offensive guard at #111 a 6.4% chance in 1984.

Offensive guard at #111, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.5% 1984: 6.4%

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 13.6%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

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