Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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OG·pick 116

FIRST OG IN OUR WINDOW AT #116

Greg Fairchild

Drafted by CIN · Tulsa

1976 · round unknown

Common Draft since 1967, rounds 1-7, OG grouping.

5
OGs drafted at #116 in NFL history
most recent: Ben Bartch (JAX, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a offensive guard at #116 a 6.2% chance in 1976.

Offensive guard at #116, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it , no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.2% 1976: 6.2%

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 13.4%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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